Credit Risk Management Practices and Profitability of Regulated Digital Credit Providers in Kenya
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.53819/81018102t3104Abstract
The profitability of digital credit providers in Kenya is a concern, as many firms lend unsecured personal loans, increasing credit risk. The decrease in loan amounts extended by these providers reflects lower profitability. The purpose of this study was to determine how credit risk management practices affect the profitability of Kenya's regulated digital credit providers. The specific objectives were to explore the effect of borrowers' screening, credit scoring, credit reminder practice, and credit risk control on profitability. The study focused on all 22 digital credit providers licensed and regulated by the Central Bank of Kenya as of January 2023. A census was necessary due to the small population. This study was based on the credit risk theory and the profit innovation theory. An explanatory research design with a quantitative methodology was used. Data was gathered using questionnaires. The data were analysed using descriptive statistics (mean, frequencies, standard deviation, and percentages) as well as inferential statistics (correlation and regression analyses). Before proceeding with inferential analysis, diagnostic tests such as normality, multicollinearity, heteroscedasticity, and autocorrelation were performed. The results were presented using tables, charts, and graphs. The study found that borrowers' screening had a significant positive impact on profitability (β = 0.146, p < 0.05). Credit scoring had a significant positive impact on profitability (β = 0.327, p < 0.05). Credit reminder had a significant beneficial effect on profitability (β = 0.298, p < 0.05). Credit risk control practices significantly increased profitability (β = 0.357, p < 0.05). The regression model accounted for 81.2% of profitability variation, and ANOVA confirmed the significance of credit risk management practices (F = 42.204, p < 0.05). All individual regression coefficients were positive and statistically significant, indicating a positive impact on profitability. The study concludes that digital credit providers improve their borrowers' screening processes, invest in sophisticated credit scoring techniques, optimize credit reminder practices, and strengthen credit risk management measures.
Keywords: Credit Risk, Management Practices, Profitability, Regulated Digital, Credit Providers
References
Ambuga, E. (2022). Credit risk management and financial performance of manufacturing companies in Uasin Gishu County, Kenya. Journal of Business Studies, 15(3), 45-60.
Antinyan, A., Asatryan, Z., Dai, Z., & Wang, K. (2021). Does the frequency of reminders matter for their effectiveness? A randomized controlled trial (Working Paper No. E2021/17). Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School.
Asgedom, A. K., Desta, T. S., & Bahita, G. H. (2015). Factors affecting group loan repayment performance: A case of Dedebit Credit and Savings Institution (DECSI), Mekelle, Ethiopia. Journal of Poverty, Investment and Development, 10, 22-43.
Berg, T., Burg, V., Gombovic, A., & Puri, M. (2020). On the rise of fintechs: Credit scoring using digital footprints. Review of Financial Studies, 33(7), 2845-2897. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhz099
Bull, G. (2019, April 18). We need to talk about credit. Consultative Group to Assist the Poor. https://www.cgap.org/blog/we-need-to-talk-about-credit
Burlando, A., Kuhn, M. A., & Prina, S. (2021). Too fast, too furious? Digital credit delivery speed and repayment rates. University of California, Center for Effective Global Action.
Campbell, D., Grant, A., & Thorp, S. (2022). Reducing credit card delinquency using repayment reminders. Journal of Banking & Finance, 142. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2022.106549
Central Bank of Kenya (CBK). (2022). Directory of licensed digital credit providers as at September 17, 2022. Nairobi, Kenya: Central Bank of Kenya.
Claessens, S., Frost, J., Turner, G., & Zhu, F. (2018). Fintech credit markets around the world: Size, drivers and policy issues. BIS Quarterly Review, 29-49.
CM Advocates. (2021). Overview of the Central Bank of Kenya (digital credit providers) draft regulations, 2021. Nairobi, Kenya: CM Advocates LLP.
Consultative Group to Assist the Poor (CGAP). (2022). Lessons on digital consumer credit from East Africa. Washington, D.C. Retrieved January 21, 2023, from https://www.cgap.org/topics/collections/digital-credit
De Leon, M. G. (2021, June 9). Digital lending in Kenya: Willingness vs. capacity to repay. Center for Financial Inclusion. https://www.centerforfinancialinclusion.org/digital-lending-in-kenya-willingness-vs-capacity-to-repay
Fatihudin, D., & Mochklas, M. (2018). How measuring financial performance. International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology, 9(6), 663-667.
Financial Sector Deepening Kenya (FSD Kenya). (2022). The digital credit landscape in Kenya. FSD Kenya.
Gallo, S. (2021). Fintech platforms: Lax or careful borrowers’ screening? Financial Innovation, 7(58), 1-33. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40854-021-00272-y
Gathu, J. (2020). How alternative data improves credit scoring for digital wallet mobile lending in Kenya. Journal of Finance and Economics, 9(2), 143-157.
Gubbins, P., & Totolo, E. (2020). Digital credit in Kenya: Evidence from demand-side surveys. Financial Sector Deepening Kenya (FSD Kenya).
Izaguirre, J., Kaffenberger, M., & Mazer, R. (2018). It’s time to slow digital credit’s growth in East Africa. Washington, D.C.: CGAP.
Johnen, C., Parlasca, M., & Mußhoff, O. (2021). Promises and pitfalls of digital credit: Empirical evidence from Kenya. PLOS ONE, 16(7). https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0255215
Kaffenberger, M., Totolo, E., & Soursourian, M. (2018). A digital credit revolution: Insights from borrowers in Kenya and Tanzania. CGAP.
Kenya Institute for Public Policy Research and Analysis (KIPPRA). (2023). Digital credit market trends in Kenya. KIPPRA Reports.
Koki, A., Achoki, G., & Kiriri, P. (2018). Mobile credit and operational efficiency in Kenyan commercial banks. International Journal of Finance, 12(1), 123-145.
Letshego Holdings Limited. (2022). Annual financial report. Letshego Group.
Longstaff, F. A., & Schwartz, E. S. (1995). A simple approach to valuing risky fixed and floating rate debt. The Journal of Finance, 50(3), 789-819.
Maina, J. W., Kadima, D. M., & Miroga, J. M. (2021). Online lending and the financial performance of commercial banks in Kenya. International Journal of Finance and Economics, 12(2), 78-89.
Masavu, M. (2022). Prudent financial management and financial performance of microfinance institutions in Kenya. Journal of Finance and Accounting, 10(4), 33-45.
Melton, R. (1974). Credit risk theory. Journal of Financial Economics, 3(2), 125-144.
Mudanya, C., Kadima, D. M., & Miroga, J. M. (2022). Credit risk management practices and financial performance: Evidence from Kenya’s digital lending sector. Journal of Finance and Economics, 9(2), 111-124.
Munangi, E., & Sibindi, A. B. (2020). An empirical analysis of the impact of credit risk on the financial performance of South African banks. Academy of Accounting and Financial Studies Journal, 24(3), 1-15.
Muturi, D. (2016). The impact of borrower screening on loan default in microfinance institutions in Kenya. Journal of Financial Management, 5(2), 87-102.
Ngulale, S. (2020). Digital credit borrowing and financial risk among micro and small businesses in Nairobi County. Journal of Risk Management, 11(1), 88-103.
Nthiga, M. (2021). Credit risk management practices and loan advancement in digital lending firms. Journal of Risk Management, 8(1), 17-25.
Oira, C., & Jagongo, A. (2020). Credit scoring and information sharing on the performance of Kenyan commercial banks. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 10(3), 156-167.
Pazarbasioglu, C., Ghosh, S., & van Oorschot, B. (2020). Fintech credit: Market structure and policy issues. World Bank Working Paper.
Porter, M. E., & Stern, S. (1999). The new challenge to America’s prosperity: Findings from the innovation index. Council on Competitiveness.
Rohilla, M. (n.d.). Schumpeter’s innovation theory of profits: Critical analysis. Journal of Business and Management, 7(3), 45-58.
Rutkowska-Ziarko, A. (2015). The influence of profitability ratios and company size on profitability and investment risk in the capital market. Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, 15(1), 151-161. https://doi.org/10.1515/foli-2015-0025
Schumpeter, J. A. (1934). The theory of economic development: An inquiry into profits, capital, credit, interest and the business cycle. Harvard College.
Śledzik, K. (2013). Schumpeter’s view on innovation and entrepreneurship. Management Trends in Theory and Practice, 39-48.
Tulsian, M. (2014). Profitability analysis (a comparative study of SAIL & TATA Steel). IOSR Journal of Economics and Finance, 3(1), 19-22.
Wanjiru, J. W. (2017). The effect of credit risk control on financial performance of commercial banks in Kenya. Unpublished Master of Business Administration research project, University of Nairobi, School of Business, Nairobi.